Comments on: Mike D’s 2009 Predictions

By: Mike DiPetrillo

Mike DiPetrillo — Thu, 08 Jan 2009 00:46:51 +0000

Yeah. That is pretty funny. Hadn't seen that until now. The whole OS versus non-OS debate went on (and still goes on) inside of VMware for a long time. It's like the whole microkernel versus not a microkernel debate with vmkernel and ESXi, etc. I guess that's what happens when you're in a new area of IT.

By: Massimo Re Ferre'

Massimo Re Ferre' — Wed, 07 Jan 2009 14:54:59 +0000

Yeah I think I was indeed ironic……. I assume you have seen this:

http://it20.info/blogs/main/archive/2008/09/21/...

You are kind of trying to sell ice to an eschimese so to speak…

Massimo.

By: Mike DiPetrillo

Mike DiPetrillo — Wed, 07 Jan 2009 12:27:14 +0000

Ironic I guess. What I said though was “the traditional OS model will change” as in you don't need some monolithic operating system to abstract the hardware resources from your applications which is what Windows, Linux, etc do today. Instead you'll have JEOS (just enough OS) running inside a virtual appliance or even a custom built microkernel for a particular app. Outside of that you'll have something like VDC-OS to run the datacenter and abstract the datacenter from the application layer. In a nutshell the OS role is moving down a layer and broadening out.

Good catch though.

By: Massimo Re Ferre'

Massimo Re Ferre' — Wed, 07 Jan 2009 12:20:25 +0000

> The operating system will die.

Mike, just a brief comment as a reminder that you have just announced that your product is an OS

Massimo.

By: MIKEYCARDINAL

MIKEYCARDINAL — Fri, 02 Jan 2009 16:42:45 +0000

Great predictions….I hope you're correct on most. I think you are referring to Doug Brown's comment's from just before VMworld on the Microsoft / Citrix deal??

I'll side with you and Doug on this one….maybe add a little more to it – 10 % “work force reduction” at MS and then the merger announcement? It'll probably be one of those corporate blah, blah, blah announcements saying they hope to achieve the reductions through attrition, retirement and a hold on new hires. Then the Citrix announcement with some way to praise the Citirx technology and save some face for the MS products?

However you look at things, 2009 will be an outstanding year for virtual technologies across the board!!

By: plankers

plankers — Thu, 01 Jan 2009 21:37:37 +0000

“Customers will finally stand up to their ISVs”

You rebel, you. Good prediction, though.

By: Brian Madden

Brian Madden — Wed, 31 Dec 2008 20:06:22 +0000

Re: Microsoft buying Citrix… I'm not sure that I've rumored this before (maybe, but I don't recall it now)… but this last year I've written specifically that I do NOT think Microsoft will buy Citrix. And I think that's true for 2009 too.

And good luck on the VMW price dude… Go long!

By: Hany Michael

Hany Michael — Wed, 31 Dec 2008 19:42:22 +0000

I liked the predictions a lot, especially the one about Microsoft acquiring Citrix, I though I was the only one having this weird speculations around this partnership tightening every single day (I haven’t been reading any thing like that online though). I’ve been in some seminars for Microsoft in my area, and every single time I see Citrix along, and how they (Microsoft & Citrix) tend to complement each others whenever a hot question pops up from the audience!! And then, and out of the blue, we hear about this crazy stuff like Citrix managing Hyper-V (Citrix Essentials for Hyper-V) and then Citrix XenDesktop running on top of Hyper-V!
This is really going to be a quite interesting year!

By: Mike DiPetrillo

Mike DiPetrillo — Wed, 31 Dec 2008 18:17:29 +0000

I thought about putting something down for client hypervisors. I think the licensing implications of Windows in a VDI environment needs to be worked out before client hypervisors really take off big time. Of course all of these are just predictions.

Best of luck to Virtual Computer in the new year!

By: Doug Lane

Doug Lane — Wed, 31 Dec 2008 18:11:01 +0000

Thanks for all of the great posts in 2008, Mike. My prediction to add:
Client hypervisors (whether provided by VMware, Citrix, or upstarts like my colleagues and I at Virtual Computer) will emerge from their current “offline VDI” niche status to become the predominant delivery vehicle for virtual desktops.